It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas

[Editor’s Note: Ian Ritter is taking a much deserved vacation over the next week, and retail reporter Debra Hazel is filling in for him on Counter Culture. Please be nice.]

Given that we’re not even past Labor Day yet, it’s a bit tough to think ahead to the holiday selling season. But yesterday’s Women’s Wear Daily reported that many retail observers expect a tough season.

Some expect sales to be flat at best – even though comparisons will be with the abysmal holiday 2008 numbers. Others are a bit more hopeful, given last year’s weakness.

What are your expectations for the holiday selling season? What will be the top seller? Will Sony’s introduction of the “Daily” reader, a competitor to Amazon’s Kindle, boost electronics sales? Or is it just too soon to tell?


2 Responses to “It’s beginning to look a lot like Christmas”

  1. 1 Doug Gordon August 27, 2009 at 9:46 am

    Having been a 25 year veteran of retail real estate, seen every type of cycle except the one we are in right now, I predict the following:

    1. Netbook sales will be huge as an affordable alternative to laptop and desktop sales.
    2. Microsoft Windows 7 will drive some elctronics sales.
    3. Christmas must come even earlier into tradtional Halloween selling period for many retailers as this is sink or swim season for many.
    4. There will be more temporary pop up promotional stores for name brands to generate excitement around 2010 products and to get rid of 2009 SKUs.
    5. I am predicting a 1.5% positive comp over prior year as consumer confidence slowly rebounds, and unemployed find jobs.
    6. Toy stores, furniture, home decor, video, restaurants are still getting their sales hammered by value discounting consumers and will continue to thru 2010.

  2. 2 james August 28, 2009 at 8:53 am

    Consumers credit card debt is a huge wet blanket thrown over the Christmas season. It’s not the time for credit card companies to start playing the Grinch.

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